Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 45.6% vs MacKinnon 49.9% (-13.2%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 50.4%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 59.2%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 54.7%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Farabee
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
34.3% (35)
49.2% (1,266)
-14.9%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
54.9% (193)
-21.6%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (2)
49.1% (55)
+50.9%
On penalty kill, Farabee has a +50.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Farabee is 29.4% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Farabee shoots left. MacKinnon is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,100).
Home / Away
Farabee
MacKinnon
Home
34.8% (23)
50.9% (740)
Away
38.5% (26)
49.0% (774)
By Period
Farabee
MacKinnon
P1
47.4%
50.9%
P2
31.6%
51.8%
P3
27.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
28.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
36.7%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
49.9%