Scouting Report
Nathan MacKinnon holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 48.0% vs MacKinnon 51.3% (-7.5%)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 52.8%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 56.0%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 53.5%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Farabee
MacKinnon
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (36)
50.0% (992)
-5.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
64.9% (148)
-14.9%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (10)
34.4% (32)
+5.6%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Farabee is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Farabee shoots left. MacKinnon is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (839).
Home / Away
Farabee
MacKinnon
Home
38.1% (21)
53.3% (591)
Away
48.3% (29)
49.6% (581)
By Period
Farabee
MacKinnon
P1
56.5%
49.9%
P2
43.8%
53.2%
P3
18.2%
50.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
44.0%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
51.5%