Scouting Report
Tyler Toffoli holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Farabee wins 35.0% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 37.8% vs Toffoli 43.0% (-6.1%)
Offensive zone
Toffoli 52.7%
Defensive zone
Toffoli 57.9%
Neutral zone
Toffoli 54.1%
Result
Tyler Toffoli favored at 54.9%
45.1%
54.9%
Farabee
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
32.8% (311)
41.2% (274)
-8.4%
Power Play
46.4% (56)
45.0% (40)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
32.0% (25)
26.3% (19)
+5.7%
On even strength, Toffoli has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Farabee is 35.0% vs right-shot opponents (163).
Farabee shoots left. Toffoli is 41.8% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
Farabee
Toffoli
Home
33.7% (178)
44.5% (155)
Away
35.5% (214)
37.6% (178)
By Period
Farabee
Toffoli
P1
39.9%
47.4%
P2
32.8%
39.8%
P3
28.7%
32.9%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
35.9%
33.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
34.7%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
40.8%