Scouting Report
Tyler Toffoli holds a +22.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 45.5% vs Toffoli 50.9% (-22.7%)
Offensive zone
Farabee 66.2%
Defensive zone
Toffoli 57.7%
Neutral zone
Farabee 52.0%
Result
Joel Farabee favored at 53.5%
53.5%
46.5%
Farabee
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (39)
62.5% (8)
-21.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
50.0% (4)
-50.0%
On penalty kill, Toffoli has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Farabee is 26.7% vs right-shot opponents (15).
Farabee shoots left. Toffoli is 77.8% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Farabee
Toffoli
Home
34.8% (23)
80.0% (5)
Away
36.4% (22)
42.9% (7)
By Period
Farabee
Toffoli
P1
31.8%
60.0%
P2
37.5%
75.0%
P3
42.9%
33.3%
Final 5 min
41.7%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
35.6%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
58.3%