Scouting Report
Tyler Toffoli holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 45.6% vs Toffoli 50.8% (-17.5%)
Offensive zone
Farabee 50.3%
Defensive zone
Farabee 53.7%
Neutral zone
Farabee 53.4%
Result
Joel Farabee favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Farabee
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
34.3% (35)
56.5% (23)
-22.2%
Power Play
33.3% (12)
0.0% (1)
+33.3%
On power play, Farabee has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Farabee is 29.4% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Farabee shoots left. Toffoli is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (17).
Home / Away
Farabee
Toffoli
Home
34.8% (23)
41.7% (12)
Away
38.5% (26)
66.7% (12)
By Period
Farabee
Toffoli
P1
47.4%
53.8%
P2
31.6%
55.6%
P3
27.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
28.6%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
36.7%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
54.2%