Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (37.5% vs 38.0%). Farabee wins 40.6% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 44.4% vs Toffoli 45.0% (-0.5%)
Offensive zone
Farabee 50.5%
Defensive zone
Farabee 50.9%
Neutral zone
Toffoli 51.6%
Result
Tyler Toffoli favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Farabee
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
31.1% (61)
39.0% (59)
-7.9%
Power Play
57.9% (19)
36.4% (11)
+21.5%
On power play, Farabee has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Farabee is 40.6% vs right-shot opponents (32).
Farabee shoots left. Toffoli is 33.3% vs left-shot opponents (51).
Home / Away
Farabee
Toffoli
Home
37.2% (43)
35.1% (37)
Away
37.8% (37)
41.2% (34)
By Period
Farabee
Toffoli
P1
41.2%
46.4%
P2
34.6%
26.9%
P3
35.0%
41.2%
Final 5 min
52.9%
26.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
37.5%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
38.0%