Scouting Report
Joel Farabee holds a +20.2% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 48.0% vs Toffoli 45.5% (+20.2%)
Offensive zone
Farabee 54.4%
Defensive zone
Farabee 54.7%
Neutral zone
Farabee 51.3%
Result
Joel Farabee favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Farabee
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (36)
25.0% (20)
+19.4%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (10)
0.0% (1)
+40.0%
On penalty kill, Farabee has a +40.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Farabee is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (17).
Farabee shoots left. Toffoli is 26.7% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Home / Away
Farabee
Toffoli
Home
38.1% (21)
20.0% (10)
Away
48.3% (29)
27.3% (11)
By Period
Farabee
Toffoli
P1
56.5%
80.0%
P2
43.8%
14.3%
P3
18.2%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
44.0%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
23.8%