Scouting Report
Tyler Toffoli holds a +24.2% FO% edge overall. Farabee wins 29.0% vs right-shot opponents — Toffoli shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Farabee 37.4% vs Toffoli 50.7% (-24.2%)
Offensive zone
Farabee 55.6%
Defensive zone
Toffoli 72.5%
Neutral zone
Farabee 50.1%
Result
Tyler Toffoli favored at 55.6%
44.4%
55.6%
Farabee
Toffoli
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Farabee
Toffoli
Edge
Even Strength
27.5% (120)
62.5% (24)
-35.0%
Power Play
46.7% (15)
33.3% (6)
+13.4%
Penalty Kill
12.5% (8)
25.0% (4)
-12.5%
On even strength, Toffoli has a +35.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toffoli shoots right. Farabee is 29.0% vs right-shot opponents (69).
Farabee shoots left. Toffoli is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (24).
Home / Away
Farabee
Toffoli
Home
28.1% (57)
52.9% (17)
Away
29.1% (86)
52.9% (17)
By Period
Farabee
Toffoli
P1
34.0%
58.3%
P2
23.4%
50.0%
P3
28.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
30.0%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Farabee
44.0%▲
38.5%
28.7%
Toffoli
38.0%▼
42.5%
52.9%