Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Copp on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Copp wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Copp 52.1% vs Tavares 54.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 64.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 67.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 67.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Copp
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Copp
Tavares
Last 9: Copp 6-3 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Copp
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Copp
3
0
Copp
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Copp
Tavares
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Copp
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (152)
54.5% (692)
-5.2%
Power Play
64.9% (57)
59.1% (149)
+5.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (23)
54.5% (11)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Copp is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Copp shoots left. Tavares is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Home / Away
Copp
Tavares
Home
53.5% (114)
57.9% (404)
Away
52.5% (118)
52.9% (448)
By Period
Copp
Tavares
P1
53.2%
54.2%
P2
52.5%
55.1%
P3
54.3%
56.4%
OT
0.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
51.0%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Copp
44.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 19:23 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 2 | 08:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 1 | 19:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 06:35 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 3 | 03:29 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 31, 2021 | 1 | 13:53 | Defensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 3 | 04:26 | Offensive | Andrew Copp |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 14:33 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 13, 2021 | 1 | 08:22 | Neutral | Andrew Copp |