Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.1% vs 54.5%). Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Tavares 54.2% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 80.6%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 54.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 64.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 61.6%
38.4%
61.6%
Kopitar
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Kopitar
Tavares
Last 10: Kopitar 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
5
Kopitar
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Kopitar
Tavares
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Kopitar
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
55.5% (1,380)
53.0% (1,201)
+2.5%
Power Play
56.6% (212)
61.5% (262)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (227)
53.8% (65)
-2.7%
On power play, Tavares has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Kopitar is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,204).
Kopitar shoots left. Tavares is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Tavares
Home
55.9% (893)
57.5% (762)
Away
54.3% (926)
51.4% (766)
By Period
Kopitar
Tavares
P1
56.2%
54.5%
P2
54.5%
53.2%
P3
54.2%
55.5%
OT
62.1%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.3%
57.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 02:28 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 3 | 00:56 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 02:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 15:21 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 08:43 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 06:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 04:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 00:46 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 2 | 15:02 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 1 | 16:59 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 1 | 13:35 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2018 | 1 | 04:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |