Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Schenn wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Schenn 46.8% vs Tavares 51.2% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Schenn 67.3%
Defensive zone
Schenn 74.3%
Neutral zone
Schenn 64.8%
Result
Brayden Schenn favored at 69.8%
69.8%
30.2%
Schenn
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Schenn
Tavares
Last 10: Schenn 3-7 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Schenn
Tavares
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
4
Schenn
Tavares
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Schenn
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Schenn
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
45.7% (398)
51.5% (1,232)
-5.8%
Power Play
45.2% (31)
51.1% (305)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (4)
36.7% (30)
+38.3%
On penalty kill, Schenn has a +38.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Schenn is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (295).
Schenn shoots left. Tavares is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Home / Away
Schenn
Tavares
Home
50.9% (226)
52.8% (781)
Away
41.0% (210)
49.9% (804)
By Period
Schenn
Tavares
P1
47.0%
52.8%
P2
45.4%
52.1%
P3
45.0%
48.7%
OT
75.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
45.6%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Schenn
48.0%▼
52.5%
46.1%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2012 | 3 | 13:30 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Mar 15, 2012 | 1 | 03:01 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2012 | 1 | 17:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 12:35 | Neutral | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 19, 2012 | 1 | 05:58 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 19:58 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 2 | 02:47 | Defensive | Brayden Schenn |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 17:20 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 12, 2012 | 1 | 04:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |