Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Evans 51.7% vs Tavares 57.7% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 68.8%
Defensive zone
Evans 87.6%
Neutral zone
Evans 60.6%
Result
John Tavares favored at 59.4%
40.6%
59.4%
Evans
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Evans
Tavares
Last 6: Evans 1-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
5
Evans
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
0
Evans
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Evans
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (483)
57.5% (914)
-3.0%
Power Play
58.3% (12)
60.5% (309)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (155)
59.1% (22)
-15.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +15.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Evans is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (495).
Evans shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Evans
Tavares
Home
49.4% (336)
61.0% (661)
Away
54.8% (314)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Evans
Tavares
P1
55.8%
58.6%
P2
51.7%
57.8%
P3
48.2%
58.4%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.0%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
52.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2023 | 3 | 05:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 8, 2023 | 1 | 14:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 14:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 04:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |