Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Tavares wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.7% vs Norris 52.1% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 15-13 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 66.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 50.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 54.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 56.6%
56.6%
43.4%
Tavares
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
13
(28 meetings)
15
13
Tavares
Norris
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
3
Tavares
Norris
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
3
5
Tavares
Norris
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
7
5
Tavares
Norris
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (692)
53.4% (635)
+1.1%
Power Play
59.1% (149)
50.0% (70)
+9.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
26.3% (19)
+28.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +28.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Tavares is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (554).
Tavares shoots left. Norris is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (494).
Home / Away
Tavares
Norris
Home
57.9% (404)
52.7% (366)
Away
52.9% (448)
52.0% (358)
By Period
Tavares
Norris
P1
54.2%
50.4%
P2
55.1%
53.9%
P3
56.4%
52.2%
OT
57.1%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.1%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 12, 2021 | 2 | 16:29 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 05:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 12:54 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 15:35 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 03:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 1 | 00:56 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 17:48 | Neutral | Josh Norris |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 2 | 18:09 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 07:37 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 18:23 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 15:23 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 08:37 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 17, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |