Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Norris shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Norris 51.9% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 90.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 64.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 74.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 78.0%
78.0%
22.0%
Tavares
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Tavares
Norris
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
1
Tavares
Norris
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Norris
0
3
Tavares
Norris
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
0
Tavares
Norris
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
52.2% (542)
+7.0%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
54.4% (57)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
46.7% (30)
-3.8%
On even strength, Tavares has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Norris is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Tavares
Norris
Home
57.5% (668)
50.7% (351)
Away
61.1% (684)
54.0% (278)
By Period
Tavares
Norris
P1
58.0%
55.6%
P2
60.1%
49.3%
P3
61.0%
52.1%
OT
27.8%
42.9%
Final 5 min
60.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Norris
52.0%▲
50.5%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 09:35 | Offensive | Josh Norris |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 3 | 03:24 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 2 | 00:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 10, 2024 | 1 | 03:45 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 19:56 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 18:19 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Josh Norris |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 1 | 07:47 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 13:03 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 7, 2023 | 3 | 05:14 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 11:56 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 04:13 | Offensive | John Tavares |