Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Hayes 51.7% (+6.2%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 54.6%
Defensive zone
Hayes 52.6%
Neutral zone
Hayes 53.6%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Tavares
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
51.6% (386)
+6.1%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
53.2% (47)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
60.0% (20)
-3.6%
On power play, Tavares has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hayes
Home
59.7% (610)
50.5% (200)
Away
57.0% (698)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Tavares
Hayes
P1
57.2%
58.8%
P2
58.5%
49.3%
P3
59.4%
48.0%
OT
46.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%