Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Tavares wins 54.1% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.4% vs Eller 43.9% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 89.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 65.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 84.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 70.6%
70.6%
29.4%
Tavares
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Tavares
Eller
Last 8: Tavares 6-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
1
Tavares
Eller
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Tavares
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
52.1% (992)
43.0% (402)
+9.1%
Power Play
53.7% (294)
16.7% (12)
+37.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
66.7% (6)
-16.7%
On power play, Tavares has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Tavares is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Tavares shoots left. Eller is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (258).
Home / Away
Tavares
Eller
Home
51.7% (679)
44.6% (184)
Away
53.4% (640)
40.9% (247)
By Period
Tavares
Eller
P1
52.2%
45.3%
P2
49.3%
41.5%
P3
56.3%
39.9%
OT
57.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.3%
40.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.5%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
42.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 16:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 3 | 14:55 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 2 | 11:03 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 26, 2010 | 1 | 08:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 29, 2010 | 1 | 03:53 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 3 | 01:45 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 27, 2010 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Lars Eller |