Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Eller 52.0% (+7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 86.9%
Defensive zone
Eller 76.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 61.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 56.7%
56.7%
43.3%
Tavares
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Tavares
Eller
Last 5: Tavares 3-2 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Eller
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Tavares
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
52.8% (742)
+6.4%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
67.6% (34)
-7.6%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
46.2% (156)
-3.3%
On power play, Eller has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Eller is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (599).
Home / Away
Tavares
Eller
Home
57.5% (668)
54.5% (448)
Away
61.1% (684)
50.2% (484)
By Period
Tavares
Eller
P1
58.0%
52.8%
P2
60.1%
50.9%
P3
61.0%
53.4%
OT
27.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2024 | 3 | 01:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 16, 2023 | 2 | 19:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 10:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Lars Eller |