Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Eller 49.5% (+11.1%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 87.2%
Defensive zone
Eller 62.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 68.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Tavares
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Tavares
Eller
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Eller
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
3
5
Tavares
Eller
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
51.1% (786)
+9.8%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
45.0% (80)
+15.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
43.6% (165)
+4.0%
On power play, Tavares has a +15.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Eller is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (677).
Home / Away
Tavares
Eller
Home
63.5% (684)
51.2% (510)
Away
57.6% (658)
47.8% (521)
By Period
Tavares
Eller
P1
60.3%
50.7%
P2
60.4%
49.0%
P3
60.1%
48.3%
OT
92.3%
56.3%
Final 5 min
57.4%
45.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 19:41 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 11:58 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 3 | 08:08 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 10:19 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 2 | 02:40 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 18:19 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 15:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 14, 2022 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 2 | 13:12 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2022 | 1 | 18:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |