Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Eller 51.9% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 61.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 70.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 61.1%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Tavares
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tavares
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Tavares
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
52.8% (650)
+4.9%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
69.2% (13)
-8.7%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
45.5% (88)
+10.9%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +10.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Eller is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (526).
Home / Away
Tavares
Eller
Home
59.7% (610)
52.6% (340)
Away
57.0% (698)
51.8% (411)
By Period
Tavares
Eller
P1
57.2%
52.4%
P2
58.5%
54.1%
P3
59.4%
50.0%
OT
46.7%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 6, 2024 | 1 | 11:46 | Defensive | Lars Eller |