Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 51.2% vs Eller 47.0% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 50.5%
Defensive zone
Eller 78.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 64.0%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 61.5%
38.5%
61.5%
Tavares
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Tavares
Eller
Last 10: Tavares 2-8 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
3
Tavares
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Tavares
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
3
5
Tavares
Eller
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (1,232)
45.7% (588)
+5.8%
Power Play
51.1% (305)
61.1% (18)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (30)
50.8% (63)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Eller has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Tavares is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,084).
Tavares shoots left. Eller is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (434).
Home / Away
Tavares
Eller
Home
52.8% (781)
48.3% (329)
Away
49.9% (804)
44.9% (356)
By Period
Tavares
Eller
P1
52.8%
50.0%
P2
52.1%
41.3%
P3
48.7%
47.4%
OT
63.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
46.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
51.3%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 15:53 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 9, 2012 | 1 | 17:30 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 13:52 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 13:45 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 10:21 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 3 | 00:31 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 13:29 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 13, 2011 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 3 | 15:42 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 17, 2011 | 2 | 06:11 | Neutral | Lars Eller |