Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.2% vs 51.7%). Look for Eller on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.1% vs Eller 51.5% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 72.7%
Defensive zone
Eller 79.2%
Neutral zone
Eller 52.7%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 58.3%
41.7%
58.3%
Tavares
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Tavares
Eller
Last 10: Tavares 2-8 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eller
1
2
Tavares
Eller
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
5
Tavares
Eller
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Tavares
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,121)
51.6% (705)
+0.8%
Power Play
51.3% (304)
57.9% (19)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
50.0% (60)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Tavares is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Tavares shoots left. Eller is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (480).
Home / Away
Tavares
Eller
Home
56.5% (731)
54.6% (383)
Away
47.8% (711)
48.9% (401)
By Period
Tavares
Eller
P1
56.1%
53.8%
P2
50.3%
52.5%
P3
50.5%
48.6%
OT
50.0%
55.6%
Final 5 min
51.5%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.2%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 11:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 3 | 07:38 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Mar 14, 2015 | 2 | 00:19 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 3 | 15:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 19:34 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Jan 17, 2015 | 2 | 10:52 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 14:10 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 02:47 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 1 | 09:11 | Defensive | Lars Eller |