Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 50.6% vs Eller 47.4% (+3.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 84.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 53.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 61.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 75.3%
75.3%
24.7%
Tavares
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Tavares
Eller
Last 6: Tavares 5-1 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Eller
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Tavares
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,202)
48.9% (701)
-0.2%
Power Play
59.3% (305)
62.5% (8)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (121)
39.1% (174)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Tavares is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Tavares shoots left. Eller is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
Tavares
Eller
Home
52.1% (841)
47.5% (421)
Away
49.0% (787)
46.8% (462)
By Period
Tavares
Eller
P1
52.2%
47.8%
P2
50.7%
47.3%
P3
49.7%
46.1%
OT
37.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.5%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.6%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 09:00 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 27, 2016 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2016 | 3 | 19:10 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 16:41 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 1, 2016 | 2 | 01:31 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 15, 2016 | 3 | 17:50 | Neutral | Lars Eller |