Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 50.6% vs Draisaitl 49.1% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 53.4%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 56.2%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 50.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 51.4%
48.6%
51.4%
Tavares
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tavares
Draisaitl
Last 5: Tavares 4-1 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Draisaitl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (1,202)
49.2% (762)
-0.5%
Power Play
59.3% (305)
51.8% (164)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
47.9% (121)
34.8% (46)
+13.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Tavares is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,072).
Tavares shoots left. Draisaitl is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (593).
Home / Away
Tavares
Draisaitl
Home
52.1% (841)
54.3% (475)
Away
49.0% (787)
43.9% (497)
By Period
Tavares
Draisaitl
P1
52.2%
47.5%
P2
50.7%
49.7%
P3
49.7%
50.3%
OT
37.9%
37.5%
Final 5 min
51.5%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.6%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2017 | 3 | 13:43 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 5, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |