Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 14-8 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 83.6%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 51.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 78.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 73.4%
73.4%
26.6%
Tavares
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
8
(22 meetings)
14
8
Tavares
Draisaitl
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
9
4
Tavares
Draisaitl
13 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Tavares
Draisaitl
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
52.6% (1,124)
+8.3%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
58.4% (344)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
49.2% (193)
-1.6%
On even strength, Tavares has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Draisaitl is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,042).
Home / Away
Tavares
Draisaitl
Home
63.5% (684)
55.5% (816)
Away
57.6% (658)
51.4% (845)
By Period
Tavares
Draisaitl
P1
60.3%
51.1%
P2
60.4%
51.6%
P3
60.1%
56.9%
OT
92.3%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 18:47 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 14:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 10:26 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 10:12 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 3 | 06:40 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 2 | 18:48 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 2 | 14:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 2 | 14:21 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 5, 2022 | 2 | 12:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 14:25 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 15:54 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 12:39 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 08:47 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 04:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 1 | 07:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |