Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.7% vs Draisaitl 55.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 73.7%
Defensive zone
Draisaitl 74.3%
Neutral zone
Draisaitl 70.2%
Result
Leon Draisaitl favored at 72.9%
27.1%
72.9%
Tavares
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Tavares
Draisaitl
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
4
4
Tavares
Draisaitl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Draisaitl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (1,239)
56.6% (956)
-3.7%
Power Play
54.7% (309)
53.5% (144)
+1.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (178)
55.1% (98)
-5.1%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Tavares is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,124).
Tavares shoots left. Draisaitl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (739).
Home / Away
Tavares
Draisaitl
Home
55.0% (864)
56.1% (626)
Away
50.8% (862)
56.1% (572)
By Period
Tavares
Draisaitl
P1
51.8%
56.9%
P2
51.4%
53.7%
P3
54.5%
56.9%
OT
66.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.9%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2018 | OT | 03:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 8, 2018 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 12:58 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 05:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 19:00 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 07:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 7, 2017 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |