Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (60.6% vs 60.0%). Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Foligno 51.7% (+0.6%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 64.4%
Defensive zone
Tavares 54.4%
Neutral zone
Foligno 51.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 55.9%
55.9%
44.1%
Tavares
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
53.8% (13)
+7.1%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
0.0% (1)
+60.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
83.3% (6)
-35.7%
On power play, Tavares has a +60.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Foligno is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (11).
Home / Away
Tavares
Foligno
Home
63.5% (684)
70.0% (10)
Away
57.6% (658)
50.0% (10)
By Period
Tavares
Foligno
P1
60.3%
50.0%
P2
60.4%
60.0%
P3
60.1%
100.0%
OT
92.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
25.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
60.0%