Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +21.5% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Foligno 47.9% (+21.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 56.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 62.8%
Neutral zone
Foligno 57.1%
Result
Marcus Foligno favored at 57.1%
42.9%
57.1%
Tavares
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Tavares
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Tavares
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
46.7% (15)
+11.0%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
0.0% (1)
+60.5%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
0.0% (3)
+56.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +60.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Foligno is 27.3% vs left-shot opponents (11).
Home / Away
Tavares
Foligno
Home
59.7% (610)
50.0% (10)
Away
57.0% (698)
22.2% (9)
By Period
Tavares
Foligno
P1
57.2%
50.0%
P2
58.5%
37.5%
P3
59.4%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.0%
0.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Foligno
42.0%▲
40.5%
36.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2024 | 1 | 09:34 | Neutral | Marcus Foligno |