Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +20.4% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Foligno 48.3% (+20.4%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 68.6%
Defensive zone
Tavares 62.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Tavares
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
46.2% (13)
+13.0%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
0.0% (3)
+60.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
50.0% (2)
-7.1%
On power play, Tavares has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Foligno is 22.2% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Home / Away
Tavares
Foligno
Home
57.5% (668)
25.0% (8)
Away
61.1% (684)
50.0% (10)
By Period
Tavares
Foligno
P1
58.0%
37.5%
P2
60.1%
42.9%
P3
61.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
60.7%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
59.3%
Foligno
42.0%▬
41.0%
38.9%