Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 27 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.7% vs Scheifele 49.8% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 36-23 in 59 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 80.5%
Defensive zone
Tavares 73.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 79.2%
Result
John Tavares favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
Tavares
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
36
-
23
(59 meetings)
36
23
Tavares
Scheifele
Last 10: Tavares 8-2 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
17
10
Tavares
Scheifele
27 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
4
5
Tavares
Scheifele
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
15
8
Tavares
Scheifele
23 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (692)
48.5% (631)
+6.0%
Power Play
59.1% (149)
67.2% (61)
-8.1%
Penalty Kill
54.5% (11)
33.3% (15)
+21.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +21.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Tavares is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (298).
Tavares shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (566).
Home / Away
Tavares
Scheifele
Home
57.9% (404)
52.0% (358)
Away
52.9% (448)
47.6% (349)
By Period
Tavares
Scheifele
P1
54.2%
46.3%
P2
55.1%
50.9%
P3
56.4%
51.5%
OT
57.1%
71.4%
Final 5 min
57.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.3%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2021 | 2 | 13:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| May 14, 2021 | 2 | 13:08 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| May 14, 2021 | 2 | 09:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| May 14, 2021 | 2 | 09:50 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 24, 2021 | 3 | 06:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 3 | 10:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 13:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 16:59 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 09:02 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 03:19 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 22, 2021 | 1 | 00:27 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 10:57 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 05:34 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 3 | 02:26 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 10:46 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 15, 2021 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | John Tavares |