Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Scheifele 48.1% (+10.3%)
H2H factor
Scheifele leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Scheifele 63.3%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 55.6%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 57.4%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 59.0%
41.0%
59.0%
Tavares
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Tavares
Scheifele
Last 10: Tavares 5-5 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
4
Tavares
Scheifele
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
2
Tavares
Scheifele
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Scheifele
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
47.8% (960)
+9.7%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
47.0% (219)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
60.7% (28)
-1.6%
On power play, Tavares has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Scheifele is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Tavares
Scheifele
Home
61.0% (661)
50.7% (611)
Away
55.3% (584)
45.1% (596)
By Period
Tavares
Scheifele
P1
58.6%
51.4%
P2
57.8%
47.3%
P3
58.4%
45.0%
OT
66.7%
53.8%
Final 5 min
63.4%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 19, 2023 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 2 | 11:44 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Jan 19, 2023 | 1 | 00:59 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:41 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 15:34 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 06:46 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 16:21 | Defensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 13:42 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 22, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |