Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Scheifele on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 57.1% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Scheifele 50.6% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 59.3%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 53.1%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 57.3%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Tavares
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Tavares
Scheifele
Last 8: Tavares 4-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Scheifele
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Scheifele
1
3
Tavares
Scheifele
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
49.3% (649)
+11.6%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
55.7% (183)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
50.0% (16)
-2.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Tavares is 57.1% vs right-shot opponents (511).
Tavares shoots left. Scheifele is 51.6% vs left-shot opponents (630).
Home / Away
Tavares
Scheifele
Home
63.5% (684)
52.3% (440)
Away
57.6% (658)
49.0% (408)
By Period
Tavares
Scheifele
P1
60.3%
52.3%
P2
60.4%
50.4%
P3
60.1%
51.4%
OT
92.3%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2022 | 1 | 03:32 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 13:51 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 10:03 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 2 | 15:46 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 19:54 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 5, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |