Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings). Tavares wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Scheifele 49.5% (+8.9%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 56.0%
Defensive zone
Tavares 91.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 87.7%
Result
John Tavares favored at 78.9%
78.9%
21.1%
Tavares
Scheifele
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Tavares
Scheifele
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Scheifele
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Scheifele
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Scheifele
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
3
Tavares
Scheifele
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
48.7% (981)
+9.0%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
53.2% (250)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
43.2% (37)
+13.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Tavares shoots left. Scheifele is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (925).
Home / Away
Tavares
Scheifele
Home
59.7% (610)
50.0% (672)
Away
57.0% (698)
48.8% (596)
By Period
Tavares
Scheifele
P1
57.2%
51.4%
P2
58.5%
45.1%
P3
59.4%
51.9%
OT
46.7%
58.3%
Final 5 min
57.0%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:12 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 11:40 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 12:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 09:04 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 1 | 04:48 | Offensive | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 15:52 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | Mark Scheifele |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 2 | 03:09 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 17:47 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 17:36 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 14:34 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 28, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |