Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Scheifele shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Scheifele 48.3% (+11.2%)
Offensive zone
Scheifele 54.9%
Defensive zone
Scheifele 50.2%
Neutral zone
Scheifele 56.9%
Result
Mark Scheifele favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Tavares
Scheifele
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Scheifele
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
48.1% (1,045)
+11.1%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
48.6% (181)
+11.4%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
44.4% (27)
-1.5%
On power play, Tavares has a +11.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Scheifele shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Tavares shoots left. Scheifele is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (892).
Home / Away
Tavares
Scheifele
Home
57.5% (668)
52.7% (630)
Away
61.1% (684)
43.5% (623)
By Period
Tavares
Scheifele
P1
58.0%
50.3%
P2
60.1%
46.8%
P3
61.0%
47.5%
OT
27.8%
36.4%
Final 5 min
60.7%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Scheifele
50.0%▬
51.0%
48.1%