Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +12.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.2% vs Barzal 42.8% (+12.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 87.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 84.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 87.8%
Result
John Tavares favored at 87.1%
87.1%
12.9%
Tavares
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Tavares
Barzal
Last 5: Tavares 4-1 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Barzal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Tavares
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,201)
41.9% (516)
+11.1%
Power Play
61.5% (262)
40.0% (60)
+21.5%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (65)
25.0% (4)
+28.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Tavares is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (558).
Tavares shoots left. Barzal is 38.1% vs left-shot opponents (407).
Home / Away
Tavares
Barzal
Home
57.5% (762)
46.9% (303)
Away
51.4% (766)
35.7% (277)
By Period
Tavares
Barzal
P1
54.5%
39.9%
P2
53.2%
45.1%
P3
55.5%
39.9%
OT
60.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.3%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.5%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2019 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Apr 1, 2019 | 1 | 05:30 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 3 | 12:36 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 28, 2019 | 2 | 14:33 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 29, 2018 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |