Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +22.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Barzal 39.3% (+22.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 67.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 77.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 75.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Tavares
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Tavares
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Barzal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
0
1
Tavares
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
35.0% (283)
+22.5%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
55.6% (9)
+4.9%
On even strength, Tavares has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Barzal is 39.0% vs left-shot opponents (210).
Home / Away
Tavares
Barzal
Home
61.0% (661)
37.0% (138)
Away
55.3% (584)
34.4% (154)
By Period
Tavares
Barzal
P1
58.6%
29.5%
P2
57.8%
44.5%
P3
58.4%
31.8%
OT
66.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
63.4%
39.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
35.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2022 | OT | 01:09 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 17:26 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 02:57 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |