Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +16.3% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Barzal 46.3% (+16.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 74.7%
Defensive zone
Tavares 70.1%
Neutral zone
Tavares 67.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 70.1%
70.1%
29.9%
Tavares
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Tavares
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
0
Tavares
Barzal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
43.0% (114)
+16.2%
On even strength, Tavares has a +16.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Tavares shoots left. Barzal is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (98).
Home / Away
Tavares
Barzal
Home
57.5% (668)
35.8% (53)
Away
61.1% (684)
49.2% (61)
By Period
Tavares
Barzal
P1
58.0%
44.2%
P2
60.1%
38.5%
P3
61.0%
46.9%
Final 5 min
60.7%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
43.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 18:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |