Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Duchene 52.8% (+6.5%)
Offensive zone
Duchene 62.9%
Defensive zone
Tavares 68.3%
Neutral zone
Tavares 52.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Tavares
Duchene
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
46.9% (162)
+14.0%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
73.2% (56)
-12.8%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
100.0% (2)
-52.4%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +52.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Tavares
Duchene
Home
63.5% (684)
58.4% (125)
Away
57.6% (658)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Tavares
Duchene
P1
60.3%
56.9%
P2
60.4%
52.5%
P3
60.1%
51.9%
OT
92.3%
80.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%