Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Zibanejad 49.5% (+8.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 91.6%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 56.7%
Neutral zone
Tavares 79.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 72.3%
72.3%
27.7%
Tavares
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
3
(10 meetings)
7
3
Tavares
Zibanejad
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
0
Tavares
Zibanejad
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
3
Tavares
Zibanejad
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
50.1% (1,051)
+7.4%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
58.3% (120)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
41.9% (227)
+17.2%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Tavares is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Tavares shoots left. Zibanejad is 49.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Home / Away
Tavares
Zibanejad
Home
61.0% (661)
49.0% (681)
Away
55.3% (584)
49.9% (717)
By Period
Tavares
Zibanejad
P1
58.6%
49.9%
P2
57.8%
47.6%
P3
58.4%
51.1%
OT
66.7%
48.3%
Final 5 min
63.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 17:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 09:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 2 | 04:19 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 15:44 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 14:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 3 | 02:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 17:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 2 | 13:37 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 15, 2022 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |