Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 55.9% vs right-shot opponents — Zibanejad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Zibanejad 49.3% (+10.0%)
H2H factor
Zibanejad leads 7-6 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 65.9%
Defensive zone
Zibanejad 69.3%
Neutral zone
Zibanejad 60.5%
Result
Mika Zibanejad favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Tavares
Zibanejad
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
7
(13 meetings)
6
7
Tavares
Zibanejad
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Zibanejad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Zibanejad
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
2
4
Tavares
Zibanejad
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zibanejad
1
2
Tavares
Zibanejad
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Zibanejad
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
50.9% (913)
+8.3%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
59.0% (39)
+1.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
37.5% (160)
+5.4%
On even strength, Tavares has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zibanejad shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Tavares shoots left. Zibanejad is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (837).
Home / Away
Tavares
Zibanejad
Home
57.5% (668)
51.1% (536)
Away
61.1% (684)
47.6% (576)
By Period
Tavares
Zibanejad
P1
58.0%
50.1%
P2
60.1%
47.3%
P3
61.0%
50.7%
OT
27.8%
45.0%
Final 5 min
60.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Zibanejad
50.0%▼
51.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 16:19 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 14:01 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 10:37 | Offensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 3 | 08:28 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 2 | 06:03 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 17:07 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 14:36 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 14:29 | Defensive | Mika Zibanejad |
| Mar 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 07:57 | Neutral | Mika Zibanejad |
| Dec 12, 2023 | 3 | 01:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |