Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 53.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 52.1% vs Foligno 48.2% (+4.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.3%
Defensive zone
Foligno 70.6%
Neutral zone
Tavares 51.3%
Result
John Tavares favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Tavares
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Tavares
Foligno
Last 6: Tavares 3-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Foligno
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Tavares
Foligno
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Tavares
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (1,121)
47.1% (227)
+5.3%
Power Play
51.3% (304)
46.7% (15)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
58.8% (17)
52.4% (21)
+6.4%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Tavares is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (911).
Tavares shoots left. Foligno is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (169).
Home / Away
Tavares
Foligno
Home
56.5% (731)
45.7% (116)
Away
47.8% (711)
49.0% (147)
By Period
Tavares
Foligno
P1
56.1%
53.8%
P2
50.3%
50.0%
P3
50.5%
40.4%
OT
50.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.5%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
52.2%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | OT | 03:29 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 06:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 3 | 16:17 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |