Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Foligno 52.3% (+2.7%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 62.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 71.2%
Neutral zone
Tavares 57.3%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 50.4%
49.6%
50.4%
Tavares
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
52.0% (50)
+5.5%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
66.7% (21)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
0.0% (1)
+59.1%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +59.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (40).
Home / Away
Tavares
Foligno
Home
61.0% (661)
51.2% (41)
Away
55.3% (584)
61.3% (31)
By Period
Tavares
Foligno
P1
58.6%
55.6%
P2
57.8%
48.0%
P3
58.4%
65.0%
Final 5 min
63.4%
81.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
55.6%