Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Foligno 51.8% (+4.2%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 66.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 61.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 50.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Tavares
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
58.1% (31)
+2.8%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
50.0% (2)
+10.4%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
50.0% (6)
-2.4%
On power play, Tavares has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Foligno is 55.0% vs left-shot opponents (20).
Home / Away
Tavares
Foligno
Home
63.5% (684)
56.3% (16)
Away
57.6% (658)
56.5% (23)
By Period
Tavares
Foligno
P1
60.3%
50.0%
P2
60.4%
66.7%
P3
60.1%
54.5%
Final 5 min
57.4%
100.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
56.4%