Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Foligno 52.0% (+6.9%)
Offensive zone
Foligno 56.3%
Defensive zone
Tavares 51.3%
Neutral zone
Foligno 53.4%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Tavares
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
53.4% (249)
+5.8%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
53.2% (154)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
40.6% (32)
+2.3%
On power play, Tavares has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Tavares
Foligno
Home
57.5% (668)
57.3% (225)
Away
61.1% (684)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Tavares
Foligno
P1
58.0%
53.0%
P2
60.1%
51.8%
P3
61.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
60.7%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%