Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Tavares wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Foligno 49.8% (+8.1%)
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.5%
Defensive zone
Foligno 73.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 50.5%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Tavares
Foligno
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
49.0% (261)
+9.0%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
57.1% (42)
-0.1%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
47.1% (51)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Tavares shoots left. Foligno is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (192).
Home / Away
Tavares
Foligno
Home
57.8% (614)
48.9% (178)
Away
57.8% (554)
50.6% (176)
By Period
Tavares
Foligno
P1
58.0%
40.4%
P2
56.9%
55.8%
P3
58.4%
51.2%
OT
57.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.8%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%