Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 54.2% vs Hischier 45.7% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 88.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 80.8%
Neutral zone
Tavares 88.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 87.7%
87.7%
12.3%
Tavares
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Tavares
Hischier
Last 10: Tavares 8-2 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
1
Tavares
Hischier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
1
Tavares
Hischier
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (1,201)
45.1% (879)
+7.9%
Power Play
61.5% (262)
50.0% (68)
+11.5%
Penalty Kill
53.8% (65)
36.8% (19)
+17.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +17.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Tavares is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Tavares shoots left. Hischier is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (687).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hischier
Home
57.5% (762)
42.7% (499)
Away
51.4% (766)
48.0% (467)
By Period
Tavares
Hischier
P1
54.5%
48.2%
P2
53.2%
40.7%
P3
55.5%
46.4%
OT
60.0%
52.0%
Final 5 min
57.3%
40.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
54.5%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 14:02 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 18, 2018 | 2 | 17:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 3 | 12:14 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 17:27 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 09:52 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 05:07 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 9, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |