Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Tavares wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 58.7% vs Hischier 56.2% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 72.2%
Defensive zone
Tavares 54.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 68.1%
Result
John Tavares favored at 68.0%
68.0%
32.0%
Tavares
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
10
(28 meetings)
18
10
Tavares
Hischier
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
10
3
Tavares
Hischier
13 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Hischier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
5
Tavares
Hischier
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
59.2% (1,035)
56.1% (1,018)
+3.1%
Power Play
60.0% (310)
59.9% (289)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (7)
51.3% (80)
-8.4%
On penalty kill, Hischier has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Tavares shoots left. Hischier is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (919).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hischier
Home
57.5% (668)
56.5% (706)
Away
61.1% (684)
56.7% (681)
By Period
Tavares
Hischier
P1
58.0%
54.8%
P2
60.1%
57.8%
P3
61.0%
57.6%
OT
27.8%
14.3%
Final 5 min
60.7%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 18:46 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 14:47 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 06:14 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:59 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 13:09 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 09:36 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 06:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 06:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 16:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 19:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 12:03 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Apr 9, 2024 | 1 | 03:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |