Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Tavares wins 61.6% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Hischier 53.6% (+4.4%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 52.3%
Defensive zone
Hischier 73.4%
Neutral zone
Hischier 54.0%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 60.6%
39.4%
60.6%
Tavares
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
6
(11 meetings)
5
6
Tavares
Hischier
Last 10: Tavares 4-6 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
3
Tavares
Hischier
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
1
Tavares
Hischier
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (914)
52.4% (1,185)
+5.1%
Power Play
60.5% (309)
57.8% (315)
+2.7%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
57.1% (154)
+2.0%
On even strength, Tavares has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Tavares shoots left. Hischier is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hischier
Home
61.0% (661)
53.4% (844)
Away
55.3% (584)
54.3% (810)
By Period
Tavares
Hischier
P1
58.6%
49.7%
P2
57.8%
54.6%
P3
58.4%
56.1%
OT
66.7%
65.5%
Final 5 min
63.4%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 16:11 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 08:53 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 3 | 07:49 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 23, 2022 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 17, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:10 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 16:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |