Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (63% H2H, 8 meetings). Tavares wins 61.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.2% vs Hischier 54.9% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 52.3%
Defensive zone
Hischier 72.3%
Neutral zone
Hischier 54.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Tavares
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
Tavares
Hischier
Last 10: Tavares 6-4 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
5
Tavares
Hischier
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
3
4
Tavares
Hischier
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Tavares
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (914)
55.0% (1,107)
+3.0%
Power Play
57.0% (235)
63.1% (252)
-6.1%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (19)
43.6% (149)
+14.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Tavares is 61.0% vs left-shot opponents (766).
Tavares shoots left. Hischier is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (977).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hischier
Home
57.8% (614)
56.5% (763)
Away
57.8% (554)
54.0% (745)
By Period
Tavares
Hischier
P1
58.0%
56.0%
P2
56.9%
57.6%
P3
58.4%
53.0%
OT
57.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
57.8%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2026 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 09:40 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 3 | 09:31 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 04:47 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 2 | 04:34 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 16:16 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 4, 2026 | 1 | 14:28 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 13:39 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:12 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 07:34 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 30, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 18:28 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 14:11 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 1 | 00:55 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |