Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 57.7% vs Hischier 55.2% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 61.9%
Defensive zone
Hischier 68.0%
Neutral zone
Hischier 62.3%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 64.8%
35.2%
64.8%
Tavares
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Tavares
Hischier
Last 10: Tavares 2-8 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
3
Tavares
Hischier
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
4
Tavares
Hischier
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
2
Tavares
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
57.7% (998)
55.8% (1,228)
+1.9%
Power Play
60.5% (271)
62.1% (282)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (39)
47.6% (267)
+8.8%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +8.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Tavares shoots left. Hischier is 53.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,187).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hischier
Home
59.7% (610)
56.5% (867)
Away
57.0% (698)
54.6% (910)
By Period
Tavares
Hischier
P1
57.2%
57.9%
P2
58.5%
55.9%
P3
59.4%
52.7%
OT
46.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
57.0%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:48 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 3 | 04:02 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 09:09 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 2 | 08:47 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 19:02 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 10, 2024 | 1 | 16:19 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 18:28 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 3 | 06:42 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 14:33 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 03:15 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 15:32 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |