Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Hischier 51.9% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 86.1%
Defensive zone
Tavares 52.4%
Neutral zone
Tavares 85.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 70.5%
70.5%
29.5%
Tavares
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
Tavares
Hischier
Last 10: Tavares 7-3 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
5
0
Tavares
Hischier
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
2
4
Tavares
Hischier
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
0
Tavares
Hischier
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
51.0% (1,011)
+9.9%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
58.2% (261)
+2.2%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
47.7% (130)
-0.1%
On even strength, Tavares has a +9.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Hischier is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (858).
Home / Away
Tavares
Hischier
Home
63.5% (684)
52.8% (665)
Away
57.6% (658)
51.4% (737)
By Period
Tavares
Hischier
P1
60.3%
53.8%
P2
60.4%
53.8%
P3
60.1%
49.5%
OT
92.3%
35.0%
Final 5 min
57.4%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2022 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 13:24 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:05 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 1 | 16:28 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 08:33 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 2 | 09:41 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 2 | 09:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 2 | 01:06 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 07:01 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 31, 2022 | 1 | 00:47 | Neutral | John Tavares |